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Histórico IPC: Analistas prevén que inflación superará el 10% en próximos meses y advierten impacto de un nuevo retiro

Una vez conocida el alza del IPC del mes de marzo, que marcó la cifra más alta en 28 años y llevó la inflación interanual a 9,4%, EMOL encuestó a varios economistas para conocer sus perspectivas sobre la inflación futura y lo que se espera para las tasas de interés.

Francisco Simian, economista jefe de Altafid, sostuvo que "la cifra del mes de marzo no sólo más que duplicó la expectativa del mercado, sino que incluso sobrepasó la cota superior del rango de expectativas. Ante esto, obviamente que vemos que la barrera de 10% anual será sobrepasada con incluso mayor probabilidad".

Con todo, prevé que "las agresivas subidas en la Tasa de Política Monetaria que se acordaron en las últimas reuniones tenían precisamente este escenario en mente. Dado que la política monetaria actúa con un rezago, no creemos que el Banco Central siga incrementando la TPM al ritmo que lo ha venido haciendo hasta ahora".

Related authors: Francisco Simian
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